Quick Take

• Model lean (1X2): Home 16.53% • Draw 12.14% • Away 67.66%
• Double Chance: 12 (home or away) at ~77.9% implied
• Both Teams to Score: Yes (away score 98.66%, home score 91.45%)
• Goals Outlook: Strong for Over 2.5; away 2+ at 92.85%, home 2+ at 68.8%

Why the Model Favors Real Madrid

Our spreadsheet engine evaluates attack/defence form, shot creation, and recent scoring patterns. The away side posts a higher success index (4.31 vs 2.38) and superior likelihood to score (away score 98.66% vs home score 91.45%). That pushes the probability stack toward the Away (2) and the safer Double Chance (12).

Best Bets (Value-First)

1. Away Win (2) — model probability ~67.66%.
2. Double Chance 12 — covers volatility; model ~77.9%.
3. BTTS: Yes — both sides project to score (home 91.45%, away 98.66%).
4. Over 2.5 Goals — supported by “team 2+ goals” signals (92.85% away; 68.8% home).

Scoreline Ideas

Given BTTS + strong away edge, plausible results include 1-2 or 1-3. Treat these as guides for correct-score markets, not guarantees.

About the Model

This preview is generated with Mad Football Prediction PRO—our Excel-based engine that blends recent form, goal expectation, and risk ratios to produce transparent probabilities for 1X2, BTTS, and totals.

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Responsible Betting Note

Percentages express model confidence, not certainties. Always stake responsibly.